Nobody can give you an honest figure. Hinge does not publish how many matches lead to a date, and a number from a forum is one man's account on one phone. What you can say is that the share is set mostly by what you do after the match. You can also say that the women who are actively writing to you should turn into dates at a much higher rate than the matches as a whole.

Why there is no real answer

A match is the start of a chain. She has to answer, the chat has to have some life, one of you has to propose a plan, and both of you have to show up. Each link depends on you, on her, and on things neither of you controls.

So the share varies enormously between men. Two men with the same number of matches can end up with very different numbers of dates. One writes back within a day and asks for a plan. The other lets chats sit.

Hinge also works differently from some other apps. a dating coach says that on Hinge he is usually messaging someone before they have matched, because a like carries a comment. That means many matches start with a message already sent, which changes the comparison with an app where a match starts empty.

The benchmark that is useful

The number worth tracking is not matches to dates. It is active chats to dates.

a dating coach's rule of thumb is that of the women who are actively messaging you back, you should be getting at least a third onto a date, and half would be very good. He calls one in five fair for a man who has had a lot of practice, but not great.

He took that view when he looked at a Reddit post from a man who closed a nine-year Tinder account. The man had about 2,200 chats and about 400 dates, and a dating coach's reading was that he did well at starting the chats and weakly at turning them into meetings. Different app, different man, but the same idea. The leak in most men's numbers sits between the chat and the plan.

What moves your own number

Four things do most of the work.

How many of your matches are women you actually want to meet. If you like everyone, many matches will go nowhere because you had no real interest to begin with.

How fast you answer. A match that sits for days cools off. Hinge hides a chat with no activity for 14 days, which is a reminder that quiet chats drift out of sight.

What your first lines say. A comment about something on her page gets more replies than a bare hello, and Hinge says a like with a comment is more likely to get a response.

How quickly you ask. A chat that never reaches a plan fades. The ask is the step men skip most.

How to count your own

Do not trust a forum figure. Count your own for a month, and keep it simple. Write down matches, chats where she has replied at least twice, plans made, and dates that happened.

Then divide. Chats that became plans over chats with two replies is the figure to watch. Plans that became dates is your show-up rate, and if it is low, you may be planning loosely or too far ahead.

A month is long enough to smooth out a bad week. Do not read anything into a few days.

Reading your result

If you have plenty of matches and few chats, your first line is the weak step. Make it about one specific thing on her page and end it where she can answer easily.

If chats are common but plans are rare, the ask is the problem. Suggest a specific day and a place within a handful of messages, once she has given you a little more than you asked for.

If plans are made but fall through, tighten them. Pick something close, soon and simple, and confirm the day before.

If every number looks fine and dates are still few, the supply may be thin. More women you like, sent consistent likes with real comments, is the only fix.

What a good result looks like

It is not a percentage you can copy from somebody else. It is a steady upward line on your own count. If more chats turn into plans this month than last month, your changes are working, whatever the matches say.