Two things drive it. More men than women use dating apps, and women swipe yes far less often than men do. Together that puts a lot of men in front of a smaller pool of women, and the women see far more profiles to choose from.

The numbers behind the gap

A writer and former data analyst worked with the founder of Swipestats.io on Tinder data that users downloaded and submitted themselves. The article doesn't state its sample size, so treat the exact figures as rough. It reports:

  • Women swipe yes on about 5 percent of profiles. Men's swipes come out around 53 percent yes.
  • The median woman gets about 2.75 matches a day. The median man gets about 1.1.
  • A typical woman would need to like about three men to expect a match. A man would need to like more than 50 women.
  • The median woman matches with about 36 percent of the people she likes. The median man matches with about 1.8 percent.

The author's explanation is "basic supply and demand," and he points to an estimate that over 70 percent of active American Tinder users were male.

Swipestats' own larger dataset, 294 million swipes from over 7,000 Tinder profiles that users uploaded, tells the same story. Median match rate was 41.27 percent for women and 2.04 percent for men, and the averages were 44.4 and 5.26 percent. The same page says 67 percent of online dating service users are men and 33 percent are women. It's a self-selected sample, so don't treat the decimals as exact.

An older academic test points the same way. Researchers made fake male and female Tinder profiles in London and New York and had them like everyone within 100 miles. The fake men matched with 0.6 percent of the people they liked. The fake women matched with 10.5 percent. The study also looked at real users: men followed up on a match with a message 7 percent of the time against 21 percent for women, and their messages were far shorter (about 12 characters against about 122).

Who swipes on whom

A study in PLOS One looked at nearly 3,000 heterosexual users of a Czech dating app. Men tended to pursue people they rated as more attractive than themselves. Women more often matched with people of similar attractiveness or slightly lower. Attention piled up on a small number of very desirable profiles, mostly women, and even the most desirable men got fewer positive responses than women rated below average. The authors wrote that successful matches line up more with women's preferences than with men's, and they tied that to men outnumbering women and being expected to make the first move.

What the pile means for you

You can't fix the ratio. Here's what you can control, because the woman is comparing you to a stack of other messages and profiles, not to nobody.

Stop swiping on everyone. Men in that data like about half of the profiles they see, and the median man matches with about 1.8 percent of his likes. Like fewer women, choose the ones you'd actually meet, and put effort into each opener.

Send a message with a point of view. Compare two openers: "Hey, how's your week?" and "You look like someone who says she's low-maintenance and is actually a lot to handle." The second one is playful, specific to her photos, and doesn't sound like the other forty she got. Tease lightly, make a statement instead of asking another question, and keep the tone relaxed.

Ask for the date sooner. A match that sits in a chat for a week is competing with every other match she has. Say it plainly: "I want to grab drinks Wednesday, not do endless texting." If she gives you ambiguity and low effort for days, scale back or move on instead of double-texting.

Show a life, not a résumé. Photos and a bio that show work you care about, a gym habit, friends and hobbies that aren't about women read as more interesting than "I'm very nice and ready for commitment." Being polite and stable is the baseline. It isn't what makes her pick you.

Have standards and say them. "I'm looking for someone who's actually free and engaged, not half in and half out" tells her you're evaluating the fit too. Seeking approval comes across as needy, and a man who can lose a match without collapsing is more compelling than one who seems relieved she replied.

Be direct about interest. Skip the vague politeness. "I'm into you. Let's not pretend otherwise" or "You're making this difficult in a good way" removes confusion and shows you're comfortable with your own desire.

Use more than the app

The imbalance is a feature of the apps. In person you're not one of 50 men in her inbox. Meeting women at events, classes and through friends takes you out of that pile, and the same skills above (be specific, tease, ask for the date) work better there.